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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 5th, 2023

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  • Regarding the profitability - spaceflight isn’t profitable yet. Some companies are trying to do manufacturing and mining that could be profitable in the future, especially if launch costs keep dropping. Moving heavy industry off planet seems like a good goal to me. That’s also ignoring different imaging and communications companies that are doing alright.

    Regarding privatization - NASA has contacted out services from their literal beginning in the Mercury program. Contracting out basic/boring launch makes sense to me and lets them focus on bigger ideas. I don’t really think SpaceX is “subsidized” vs winning contracts to deliver hardware and provide services, especially when you compare to their competition for programs like ISS commercial crew/cargo and Artemis human landing system, where their direct competitors (Boeing, Northrop Grumman, Blue Origin, etc) are more expensive.

    My big gripe is that no one else has launch capacity right now, so SpaceX has no pressure to get cheaper and companies don’t have a choice. Ariane 5 retired, Atlas V is booked out, and Vulcan, Ariane 6, New Glenn, Neutron, Terran R, etc. are not flying yet.







  • There’s a lot to dig into here, but I’ll just pick out one thing for now:

    % of US adults who think private space companies are doing a mostly ____ at each of the following:

    Limiting debris in space…: 26% bad job, 21% good job, 53% not sure

    For what it’s worth, Starlink satellites and most little constellations are being launched to low earth orbit and will deorbit naturally in around 5 years. The same goes for the rocket 2nd stages that launched them.

    I’d be on board with deorbit bounties and a system like carbon credits that funds them. Most of what’s getting launched shouldn’t be a big concern, though.