• 33 Posts
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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 23rd, 2023

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  • A process that has been criticized by many specifically because it ignores and undermines Israeli efforts to prosecute war crimes committed by its own. It violates the principle of complementarity, so there’s a decent chance the request for warrants will be dismissed without prejudice on those grounds alone.

    I personally believe the request was made to appease the Muslim world as the others in that request are Deif, Haniyeh, and Sinwar. Those warrants will likely be granted, given that the State of Palestine (signatory to the Rome Statutes and the reason for jurisdiction) clearly lacks the ability or willingness to hold them or their organization responsible for their actions.



  • Well written op-ed - but it fails some fact checks. The protests at Sde Teiman were dispersed after they realized the soldiers who had been arrested were no longer at the base. Similarly, the protest at Beit Leid started after it was announced the soldiers had been transferred there.

    Opinion articles aren’t held to journalistic standards, and it shows.


  • The US followed up on those two incidents - quite publicly. Simply hand waving that it happens and blaming the media is not very convincing. ]=]

    …virtually no Hamas in West Bank…

    5 fewer as of a few hours ago. Hopefully the last ones in the entire West Bank, but somehow I doubt it. This statement is only exposing that you don’t have very deep knowledge of the current state of affairs in the West Bank. Not surprising given the amount of propaganda and less than factual coverage of the conflict.

    Likud consisted of terror organizations before becoming a political party

    So were the ANC, the PLO, and many others around the world. Hell, the Republican party used to be staunchly against racism and slavery. Organizations change over time. But that change happens slowly, and to remove the stench of terrorism takes demonstrable steps away from violence.

    The rules are applied evenly - Israel isn’t designated a terrorist state because there is no such definition. It simply doesn’t make sense - terrorism was invented to describe war crimes committed by non-state actors, and had no established process to be held responsible for their crimes. Israel may not heavily punish those who commit war crimes, but they do prosecute them, and that’s the bar that’s needed to avoid sanctions. Like it or don’t like it, but that’s the way the world works right now.




  • Subjective, but not arbitrary. Here’s the relevant sections of EO13224 (linked above):

    …may designate foreign individuals or entities that he determines have committed, or pose a significant risk of committing, acts of terrorism that threaten the security of U.S. nationals or the national security, foreign policy, or economy of the U.S.;

    For the purpose of the Order, “terrorism” is defined to be an activity that (1) involves a violent act or an act dangerous to human life, property, or infrastructure; and (2) appears to be intended to intimidate or coerce a civilian population; to influence the policy of a government by intimidation or coercion; or to affect the conduct of a government by mass destruction, assassination, kidnapping, or hostage-taking.

    There are 8 US citizens still held hostage by Hamas in Gaza - which means they meet the criteria of both 1 and 2. That’s without opening up any other accusations of terrorism.







  • A lot of the criticism I’ve seen thus far falls into two categories:

    1. Users complaining that their favorite source is scored poorly
    2. Users complaining that the ratings have various sources of statistical bias

    The ones in the first group I think should take it as a wakeup call that they are either headline shopping or missing out on other perspectives of current events. This is especially important on the international stage where armed conflicts will naturally produce two opposing accounts (and lots of propaganda).

    The second group have a point - MBFC isn’t the end all be all, but it’s certainly better than nothing. Having meaningful bias measurements for each relevant scale would be impressive but way beyond what MBFC aims to do.

    So all in all - I see this as a very positive change





  • Hezbollah has been launching combination rocket/drone attacks along the entire northern border for the last 6 months. In the least week or two there have been several reports of hits without any warning sirens. I’m inclined to say that this is indicative of a shift in tactics and/or technology that has been shared, and may also impact the Ukraine war (the drones are the same Iranian design/manufacture).

    This incident will draw lots of saber rattling against the Houthis, and there will probably be some air raids on Houthi military assets by various coalition forces. The ones to watch here are Saudi Arabia and Jordan - they both have the opportunity to earn some goodwill for relatively little risk and achieve their own goals at the same time.

    I have no clue if the Houthis will attempt to escalate this with larger drone swarms. Their doctrine so far has been less than 20 daily, most of which are targeting ships or Eilat. But this is the first time they’ve directly targeted Tel Aviv.